"People are much more willing to take advice from someone who looks like them."

"I've debated many economists who claim to specialize in risk and probability: when one takes them slightly outside their narrow focus, but within the discipline of probability, they fall apart, with t…"

"To understand the world, you must be a generalist. To make a living, you must be a specialist."

"Avoid professions where you are paid for your opinions rather than for results."

"Imbeciles summarize the black swan by 'shit happens.' Intelligent people say 'Let us learn how not to be a Turkey.'"