The problem with 'experts' is that they're often optimized for telling a good story, not for accurate prediction.
Black Swan theory
Found in 1 providers: grok
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"The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know."
Strange & Unusual"If you hear a 'prominent' economist using the word 'equilibrium', or 'normal distribution', do not argue with him; just ignore him."
Strange & Unusual"Academia is a graveyard of ideas."
Controversial"The more you talk, the less people listen."
Strange & Unusual"The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness."
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